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TradeGuider - Volume
Spread Analysis
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TradeGuider
TradeGuider is based on a methodology called Volume Spread Analysis. VSA is a proprietary market analysis method
which was conceived by Tom Williams (Chairman of TradeGuider
Systems). VSA is utilized in the TradeGuider software to analyze a
market by observing the interrelationship between volume, price and
spread of the price bar (often known as the range of a price bar).
This method is particularly good at highlighting imbalances of
supply and demand. The
highly acclaimed Book Master the Markets by Tom Williams
explaining Volume Spread Analysis & more is provided here for free
as a pdf, this $99.00 value book is fully printable. Your browser
will go blank for about 5 minutes as the book downloads, then it
will open automatically so you can then save it to your computer.
17.5MB Download Here:
www.tradeguider.com/mtmv3.pdf
Now some background about TradeGuider, which was previously known as
Wyckoff VSA. VSA is an abbreviation of Volume Spread Analysis, a
trading methodology developed by veteran syndicate trader Tom
Williams (more about Tom later), and has been in existence for over
14 years. TradeGuider is unique. Driven by an artificial
intelligence engine, the software is capable of analyzing any liquid
market, in any time frame, and extracting the information it needs
to indicate imbalances of supply and demand on a chart. In doing so,
TradeGuider is able to graphically show the essential force that
moves every market.
The software works in end-of-day mode using Paritech DataDirector or
in Real Time using E-Signal Data, and enables users to see when
professional money is entering, exiting, or not participating in the
market they are trading, empowering clients to make more
intelligent, timely, and informed decisions. TradeGuider is a
revolutionary concept that can be used on its own or in conjunction
with other trading software platforms, making it an ideal choice for
adding value to data vendor platforms or as decision support. The
software combines ease of use with the best supply and demand
analysis in the business. The extensive Expert System has an innate
understanding of market dynamics combined with volume, which means
that it is capable of analyzing supply and demand in any liquid
market.
The indicators are displayed automatically on the chart. There is no
configuration, no setting of parameters, and no optimization. We are
of the belief that if a system requires optimization to make it
work, then the base methodology cannot have been sound in the first
place, since the process of optimization is used to cover up a whole
range of flaws in the original analysis method(s). Instead, our
concepts are robust and can be applied to any timeframe, with
consistent results. The sophisticated Expert System is augmented by
a novel set of proprietary tools, which ensure that TradeGuider is
most definitely not a ‘me too' product.
As we said earlier, this is not a new concept, and Tom Williams who
invented VSA was himself a syndicate trader who could see that the
markets were manipulated and that the key to unlocking the truth lay
in the relationship between the volume, the range or spread of the
bar and the closing price. Tom spent many years studying the
concepts of Richard Wyckoff. Richard Wyckoff was a trader during the
1920 and 30’s. He wrote several books on the Market, and eventually
set up the "Stock Market Institute" in Pheonix. "At its core,
Wyckoff's work is based on the analysis of trading ranges, and
determining when stocks are in "basing," "markdown," "distribution,"
or "markup" phases. Incorporated into these phases are the
ongoing shifts between "weak hands" (public ownership) and
"composite operators", now commonly known as smart money."
Tom came back from Beverley hills in the early 1980’s and began to
investigate if it was possible to computerize the system he had
learnt as a syndicate trader, and so began the evolution of Volume
Spread Analysis. Together with an experienced computer programmer
Tom carefully studied many thousands of charts to recognize the
obvious patterns that were left when professional or smart money was
active. This methodology although simple in concept took many years
to write and is now taught as a methodology combined with the
software called TradeGuider.
Volume Spread Analysis seeks to establish the cause of price
movements. The ‘cause’ is quite simply the imbalance between Supply
and Demand or strength and weakness in any liquid market, which is
created by the activity of professional operators or “Smart Money”.
If you use the TradeGuider software you will see that it does an
excellent job of detecting these key imbalances for you, taking the
hard work out of reading the markets and enabling you to fully
concentrate on your trading.
The significance and importance of volume appears little understood
by most non-professional traders. Perhaps this is because there is
very little information and limited teaching available on this vital
part of technical analysis. To use a chart without volume is similar
to buying an automobile without a gasoline tank.
For the correct analysis of volume, one needs to realize that the
recorded volume information contains only half of the meaning
required to arrive at a correct analysis. The other half of the
meaning is found in the price spread. Volume always indicates the
amount of activity going on, the corresponding price spread shows
the price movement on that volume. Many traders believe you cannot
analyze volume is the FOREX markets because it is unavailable, but
we will show you how TradeGuider proprietary system can something
that most traders thought was not possible. More about this later.
Some technical indicators attempt to combine volume and price
movements together. Rest assured that this approach has limitations,
because at times the market will go up on high volume, but can do
exactly the same thing on low volume. Prices can suddenly go
sideways, or even fall off, on exactly the same volume! So, there
are obviously other factors at work.
Price and volume are intimately linked, and the interrelationship is
a complex one, which is the reason TradeGuider was developed in the
first place. The system is capable of analyzing the markets in
real-time (or at the end of the day), and displaying any one of 400
indicators on the screen to show imbalances of supply and demand.
The TradeGuider Indicators
All of the indicators can be grouped into two broad categories:
1.Indicators that show weakness are coloured red. Weakness is
indicative of supply, professionals selling the market, or
professionals withdrawing from the market (i.e. no participation.)
2.Strength is indicated by green symbols and is indicative of market
demand (i.e. professionals buying into the market.)
TradeGuider constantly analyzes your charts for imbalances of supply
and demand or strength and weakness. Once an imbalance is found, a
red or green indicator is displayed, alerting you to the likely
strength or weakness in the market. This chart (link below) shows a
number of green symbols, indicating strength (demand). Showing
supply and demand graphically on a chart is one of TradeGuider’s
major strengths. In the chart below, we can see that following the
cumulative effect of a build up of demand, the stock responds with a
positive and sustained price rise.

This chart (link below) shows a number of red symbols grouped
together, indicating weakness (supply). The market falls in price
following each cluster of supply.

Medium Term Trend Changes – Bar Coloring There is a second trending
system in TradeGuider that is designed to be a lot more insensitive
to minor trend changes. It’s a volatility-driven system which takes
into account how much a market moves. The more a market moves, the
more forgiving the system becomes to adverse price excursions
against the trend. However, if a market isn’t that volatile, the
trending system becomes more responsive to movement. Have a look at
the chart below for an example of this system in action: Green
signifies a medium term up trend and red signifies a medium term
down trend.

Here is an example of a TradeGuider chart. (Click link below).
Because TradeGuider works in FOREX, Stocks, Futures and Commodities,
the actual market we analyze for this document is irrelevant..

Now let’s look at some specific Volume Spread Analysis indications
of demand. (strength) Stopping Volume Stopping volume is another
indicator variant that shows when buying is overcoming selling. A
high volume down move, on a wide spread would normally indicate
selling. However, if the next day (or bar) is up, closing on the
high, then this shows that absorption buying occurred on the
previous day (or bar). Only professional money can do this and it is
therefore a good indication of strength.
Notice on this chart the ultra high volume activity on a down bar
with the price close in the middle of the bar. This can only mean
professionals are buying the market otherwise the close would have
been at, or near, it’s low. Now, lets look at this in an E-mini
chart.

The concept of stopping volume, as with most VSA indicators, have
different variations. By using TradeGuider you will be alerted
automatically to all variations as they appear, accelerating your
learning curve. The next chart we’ll look at will demonstrate what a
test looks like. Tests, by their very name, are the professionals
testing the amount of supply present in the market. When they test
and there is low volume this clearly shows no residual supply and
the market is likely to rise in the near future.
Now let’s look at an E-mini chart, please note that the indicator
description box refers to the green VSA indicator which the red
vertical line is on. Notice the low volume on this test showing the
professionals there is very little supply in the market.

Now let’s look at some specific Volume Spread Analysis indications
of supply (weakness). Let’s take a look at what the end of a rising
market looks like.

Now let’s see what this looks like on an E-mini chart.

Please note the ultra high volume with a very narrow spread closing
on it’s high, the professionals are selling at this point to weak
holders.
For further details call us on 1300 652 511.
Comprehensive Australian Support and
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General information only - Non
Advisory
Before making an investment decision on the basis of this
software, the investor or prospective investor needs to consider,
with or without the assistance of a securities adviser, whether the
advice is appropriate in light of your particular investment needs,
objectives and financial circumstances of the investor or
prospective investor. Paritech Financial Services Ltd provides
extensive training on the use of this and other products. Please do
not hesitate to contact us for further information.
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