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Demand Index
Description
The Demand Index, developed by James Sibbet, combines price and
volume in such a way that it is often a leading indicator of price
change. The Demand Index calculations are too complex, however, for
this text. The calculations require 21-column accounting paper to
calculate manually.
MetaStock Pro uses a slight variation on the Sibbet's original Index
so that the Index is displayed on a "normal" y-axis scale. The
author's Index is plotted on a scale labeled +0 at the top, 1 in the
middle, and -0 at the bottom. MetaStock Pro uses a scale from +100
to -100. Other than the difference in y-axis labeling, the indicator
is calculated exactly as designed by its author.
Interpretation
There are six "rules" to the Demand Index:
- A divergence between the Demand Index and the price trend
suggests an approaching weakness in price.
- One more rally to new highs usually follows an extreme peak in
the Demand Index (the Index is performing as a leading indicator).
- Higher prices with a lower Demand Index peak usually coincides
with an important top (the Index is performing as a coincidental
indicator).
- The Demand Index penetrates the level of zero indicating a
change in trend (the Index is performing as a lagging indicator).
- When the Demand Index stays near the level of zero for any
period of time, a weak price movement that will not last long is
indicated.
- A large long-term divergence between prices and the Demand
Index indicates a major top or bottom.
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